Odd4SureWins

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, ACF Fiorentina host Rakow in UEFA Conference League. Analysis points to over 1.5 goals.

ACF Fiorentina arrive showing mixed form — 2W 1D 2L from 5 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Rakow are inconsistent on the road — 3W 1D 1L in 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1 per match.

On the balance of evidence, over 1.5 goals at 1.28 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

The Stadio Artemio Franchi sets the stage as Fiorentina takes on Polish side Rakow Czestochowa in the Europa Conference League round of 16. Domestically, Fiorentina is in full crisis mode. They are hovering dangerously close to the Serie A relegation zone, sitting just one point above the drop after a dismal 0-0 draw with Parma. Yet, Europe has provided a strange sanctuary. They scraped past Jagiellonia Bialystok in the previous round thanks to an extra-time goal from Nicolò Fagioli. With Moise Kean expected to be sidelined for this clash, Roberto Piccoli will be tasked with leading the line.

Rakow Czestochowa bypassed the playoff round by finishing second in the league phase. They boast the second-best defensive record in the tournament, conceding only twice in six matches. The Polish outfit is well-rested and built on a sturdy 4-4-2 block that actively frustrates opponents. Goalkeeper Oliwier Zych has been phenomenal, and Jonatan Braut Brunes leads the line efficiently with five goals in his last ten outings.

This match will be a stark clash of styles. Fiorentina will dominate possession and attempt to break down the visitors, but their recent lack of cutting edge is a glaring issue. Nine of Fiorentina’s last 11 games have seen over 2.5 goals, mostly due to their leaky defense, but Rakow prefers tight, low-scoring affairs. If Rakow can absorb the early pressure from an anxious home crowd, their defensive resilience will be perfectly suited to secure a result.