Uganda Premier League BUL vs Mbarara City, Prediction

01

Primary Index

The Selection

Recommended Angle

1

Statistical data points toward BUL to win as the primary value index.

Best Odds

1.36

~50% conversion

Confidence Weight

★★★★★ 40% Low Variance Speculative

Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.

02

Alternative Slates

Secondary Selections

★ Master 1 — BUL to win @1.36

Under Under 2.5 70% probability

03

Match Pace Dynamics

Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics

Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)

2.40

Goals Combined / Match

Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.

Defensive Structural Integrity Index

2.00

Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit

Moderate containment matrices. Defenses hold robust configurations but remain vulnerable to tier-1 isolation scenarios.

04

Form Matrix

Streak Tracker

BUL

W W W L D

Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent

Conversion Velocity

60%

Mbarara City

L L L L W

Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent

Conversion Velocity

20%

05

Historical Vectors

Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence

Head to Head Distribution

BUL0 Wins

Neutral Split4 Splits

Mbarara City1 Wins

Negative Variance BUL won 0 of the last 5 meetings (4 draws).

Recent Run Ratios

BUL Win Success Rate3/5

Mbarara City Win Success Rate1/5

Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.2

H2H Interaction Means1.2

Form Convergent BUL: 3W 1D 1L from 5 games.

3-1-1

BUL
Record

1-0-4

Mbarara City
Record

40%

Mutual
BTTS

1.2

H2H Goal
Mean

06

Performance Indexes

System Strength Ratings

BUL Core Capability

Overall Strength

6.6 —

Scoring Efficiency

6.7 —

Defensive Lock

7.3 —

Mbarara City Core Capability

Overall Strength

2.0 —

Scoring Efficiency

1.3 —

Defensive Lock

6.0 —

07

Raw Yield Data

Volumetric Statistical Ratios

BUL Data Yield

2

Goals Scored
/Game

0.8

Goals Against
/Game

40%

Clean Sheet
Ratio

Mbarara City Data Yield

0.4

Goals Scored
/Game

1.2

Goals Against
/Game

20%

Clean Sheet
Ratio

08

Market Segments

Multi-Condition Combinations

Outcome & Goals Option

Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%

Home Win & BTTS No 40%

Draw & BTTS Yes 4%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%

Away Win & BTTS No 13%

Outcome & Over/Under Variant

Home Win & Over 2.5 20%

Home Win & Under 2.5 47%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 7%

Away Win & Under 2.5 15%

09

Data Logs

Historical Archive Registry

Head-to-Head History

⚽ PL (Oct 17, 2025): Mbarara City

BUL

1

⚽ PL (Mar 29, 2025): Mbarara City

BUL

0

⚽ PL (Oct 2, 2024): BUL

Mbarara City

0

2

⚽ PL (May 14, 2024): Mbarara City

BUL

0

⚽ PL (Jan 6, 2024): BUL

Mbarara City

1

Recent Match Archive

BUL Segment

⚽ PL (Mar 10, 2026): Buhimba

BUL

0

1

⚽ PL (Mar 6, 2026): BUL

Calvary

5

1

⚽ PL (Mar 3, 2026): Police

BUL

0

2

⚽ PL (Feb 18, 2026): Kampala City

BUL

2

1

⚽ PL (Feb 13, 2026): BUL

Vipers

1

Mbarara City Segment

⚽ PL (Mar 10, 2026): Mbarara City

Kitara

0

1

⚽ PL (Mar 7, 2026): Mbarara City

Vipers

1

2

⚽ PL (Mar 4, 2026): URA SC

Mbarara City

2

0

⚽ PL (Feb 17, 2026): Entebbe UPPC

Mbarara City

1

0

⚽ PL (Feb 12, 2026): Mbarara City

Calvary

1

0

10

Match Analysis

Analytical Breakdown

On Friday, 13th March 2026, BUL host Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League. Analysis points to BUL to win.

BUL arrive showing mixed form — 3W 1D 1L from 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0.8 per game.

Mbarara City are struggling away — 1W 0D 4L in 5 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2 per match.

The H2H record stands: BUL 0 wins, Mbarara City 1 wins, 4 draws in 5 meetings. Both sides scored in 40% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, bul to win at 1.36 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

FUFA Technical Centre hosts a gritty Uganda Premier League clash between 8th-placed BUL and 14th-placed Mbarara City. BUL come into this fixture seeking consistency. After a hard-fought 1-0 victory against Maroons, they showed defensive resilience but still struggled to score freely. Sitting mid-table with 29 points from 20 games, BUL relies heavily on grinding out narrow results. Mbarara City is fighting for survival. Languishing near the drop zone with only 15 points, their away form has been dreadful. They suffered a 1-0 defeat to UPDF in their latest outing and have managed only one win in their last five games. Neither side commits too many bodies forward, preferring a cautious, risk-averse approach.

Prediction BUL To Win.

11

Match Digest FAQ

Intelligence Distribution Breakdown

1 What is the main prediction for BUL vs Mbarara City?

Our selection is 1 — BUL to win at 1.36. Confidence: 40%.

2 What is BUL's performance matrix?

BUL: 3W 1D 1L in 5 — decent form.

3 How has Mbarara City been performing on the road?

Mbarara City: 1W 0D 4L in 5 — poor form.

4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?

BUL 0 wins, Mbarara City 1, 4 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.2 goals.

5 How many total match goals are expected?

Recent matches average 2.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.

12

Parallel Feeds

Concurrent Dynamic Predictions