Bulgaria EFBET League Thursday, 19th March 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
SP
Spartak Varna
L L W L D
1-5
LU
Ludogorets
W W W D L
Selection2 @ 1.22
Calculated Probability66%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Spartak Varna 1-5 Ludogorets
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
2
Statistical data points toward Ludogorets to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.22
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
66% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 2 — Ludogorets to win @1.22
H2H Over 2.5 75% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.70
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
2.10
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Moderate containment matrices. Defenses hold robust configurations but remain vulnerable to tier-1 isolation scenarios.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Spartak Varna
L L W L D D D W L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
Ludogorets
W W W D L L W W W W
Positive Momentum 4 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
80%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Spartak Varna0 Wins
Neutral Split1 Splits
Ludogorets7 Wins
Favourable Baseline Ludogorets won 7 of 8 meetings.
Recent Run Ratios
Spartak Varna Win Success Rate3/10
Ludogorets Win Success Rate7/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.4
H2H Interaction Means3.1
Form Convergent Ludogorets: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
3-3-4
Spartak Varna
Record
7-1-2
Ludogorets
Record
63%
Mutual
BTTS
3.1
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Spartak Varna Core Capability
Overall Strength
3.9
Scoring Efficiency
3.3
Defensive Lock
5.7
Ludogorets Core Capability
Overall Strength
7.3
Scoring Efficiency
5.7
Defensive Lock
7.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Spartak Varna Data Yield
1
Goals Scored
/Game
1.3
Goals Against
/Game
20%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Ludogorets Data Yield
1.7
Goals Scored
/Game
0.8
Goals Against
/Game
40%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
18.10.25
1L: Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
1
1
19.04.25
1L: Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
2
1
10.11.24
1L: Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
3
04.04.23
CUP: Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
2
1
11.02.23
1L: Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
2
29.07.22
1L: Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
5
0
07.02.22
CF: Ludogorets
Spartak Varna
4
0
23.09.21
CUP: Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
0
1
Recent Match Archive
Spartak Varna Segment
14.03.26
1L: Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1
2
L
06.03.26
1L: Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
L
03.03.26
1L: Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
27.02.26
1L: Arda
Spartak Varna
1
0
L
21.02.26
1L: Lok. Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
13.02.26
1L: Spartak Varna
Lok. Sofia
2
2
D
07.02.26
1L: Cherno More
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
CF: Spartak Varna
Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
28.01.26
CF: Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
L
24.01.26
CF: Dunav Ruse
Spartak Varna
1
3
W
Ludogorets Segment
14.03.26
1L: Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
3
0
W
09.03.26
1L: Montana
Ludogorets
0
3
W
05.03.26
1L: Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
02.03.26
1L: Ludogorets
Lok. Plovdiv
1
1
D
26.02.26
EL: Ferencvaros
Ludogorets
2
0
L
23.02.26
1L: Botev Plovdiv
Ludogorets
2
1
L
19.02.26
EL: Ludogorets
Ferencvaros
2
1
W
15.02.26
1L: Ludogorets
Beroe
2
1
W
11.02.26
CUP: Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
07.02.26
1L: Lok. Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Thursday, 19th March 2026, Spartak Varna host Ludogorets in Bulgaria EFBET League. Analysis points to Ludogorets to win.

Spartak Varna arrive in difficult form — 3W 3D 4L from 10 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1.3 per game.

Ludogorets are travelling well — 7W 1D 2L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 per match.

The H2H record stands: Spartak Varna 0 wins, Ludogorets 7 wins, 1 draws in 8 meetings. Both sides scored in 63% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, ludogorets to win at 1.22 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Bulgaria EFBET League battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle. While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through. We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify. Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 2, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current 1.22 odds. As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Our selection is 2 — Ludogorets to win at 1.22. Confidence: 66%.
2 What is Spartak Varna's performance matrix?
Spartak Varna: 3W 3D 4L in 10 — inconsistent.
3 How has Ludogorets been performing on the road?
Ludogorets: 7W 1D 2L in 10 — very good form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Spartak Varna 0 wins, Ludogorets 7, 1 draws in 8 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 63%.
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