Liga Portugal Saturday, 21st March 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
BE
Benfica
W D W L W
3-0
VI
Vitoria Guimaraes
L L D L W
Selection1 @ 1.33
Calculated Probability58%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Benfica 3-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Benfica to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.33
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
58% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Benfica to win @1.33
Both BTTS No 65% probability
H2H Over 2.5 80% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
1.80
Goals Combined / Match
Low frequency chance creation environments. High structural preservation and heavily contested zones expected.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
1.10
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Premium clean sheet consolidation indicators. Solid tactical low blocks minimize error metrics.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Benfica
W D W L W L W W D W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
Vitoria Guimaraes
L L D L W L W L L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Benfica7 Wins
Neutral Split3 Splits
Vitoria Guimaraes0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Benfica won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Benfica Win Success Rate6/10
Vitoria Guimaraes Win Success Rate3/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match1.5
H2H Interaction Means3.4
Form Convergent Benfica: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Benfica
Record
3-1-6
Vitoria Guimaraes
Record
40%
Mutual
BTTS
3.4
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Benfica Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.6
Scoring Efficiency
6.0
Defensive Lock
6.3
Vitoria Guimaraes Core Capability
Overall Strength
3.3
Scoring Efficiency
0.0
Defensive Lock
10.0
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Benfica Data Yield
1.8
Goals Scored
/Game
1.1
Goals Against
/Game
20%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Vitoria Guimaraes Data Yield
0
Goals Scored
/Game
0
Goals Against
/Game
0%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
01.11.25
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
0
3
19.04.25
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
0
3
07.12.24
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
1
0
11.02.24
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
2
2
02.09.23
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
4
0
18.03.23
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
5
1
01.10.22
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
0
0
27.02.22
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
3
0
27.10.21
CUP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
3
3
25.09.21
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
1
3
Recent Match Archive
Benfica Segment
14.03.26
LP: Arouca
Benfica
1
2
W
08.03.26
LP: Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
LP: Gil Vicente
Benfica
1
2
W
25.02.26
CL: Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
L
21.02.26
LP: Benfica
AFS
3
0
W
17.02.26
CL: Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
13.02.26
LP: Santa Clara
Benfica
1
2
W
08.02.26
LP: Benfica
Alverca
2
1
W
01.02.26
LP: Tondela
Benfica
0
0
D
28.01.26
CL: Benfica
Real Madrid
4
2
W
Vitoria Guimaraes Segment
14.03.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Famalicão
1
2
L
08.03.26
LP: Santa Clara
Vitória Guimarães
2
0
L
28.02.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
LP: Braga
Vitória Guimarães
3
2
L
14.02.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
LP: Arouca
Vitória Guimarães
3
2
L
30.01.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Moreirense
1
0
W
24.01.26
LP: Estoril
Vitória Guimarães
4
2
L
18.01.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
FC Porto
0
1
L
10.01.26
CUP: Vitória Guimarães
Braga
2
1
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Benfica host Vitoria Guimaraes in Liga Portugal. Analysis points to Benfica to win.

Benfica arrive showing mixed form — 6W 2D 2L from 10 matches, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 per game.

Vitoria Guimaraes are struggling away — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

The H2H record stands: Benfica 7 wins, Vitoria Guimaraes 0 wins, 3 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 40% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, benfica to win at 1.33 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Liga Portugal battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.33 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Our selection is 1 — Benfica to win at 1.33. Confidence: 58%.
2 What is Benfica's performance matrix?
Benfica: 6W 2D 2L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Vitoria Guimaraes been performing on the road?
Vitoria Guimaraes: 3W 1D 6L in 10 — inconsistent.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Benfica 7 wins, Vitoria Guimaraes 0, 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 1.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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