Egypt Premier League Saturday, 11th April 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
AL
Al Ahly
D L L L W
2-1
SM
Smouha
L W W L L
Selection1 @ 1.34
Calculated Probability50%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Al Ahly 2-1 Smouha
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Al Ahly to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.34
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
50% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Al Ahly to win @1.34
Under Under 2.5 65% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.50
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
1.70
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Premium clean sheet consolidation indicators. Solid tactical low blocks minimize error metrics.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Al Ahly
D L L L W D W W D W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
Smouha
L W W L L L W W W W
Positive Momentum 4 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
80%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Al Ahly6 Wins
Neutral Split2 Splits
Smouha2 Wins
Favourable Baseline Al Ahly won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Al Ahly Win Success Rate4/10
Smouha Win Success Rate6/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.1
H2H Interaction Means2.3
Structural Divergence Al Ahly: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games.
4-3-3
Al Ahly
Record
6-0-4
Smouha
Record
30%
Mutual
BTTS
2.3
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Al Ahly Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.9
Scoring Efficiency
4.0
Defensive Lock
7.0
Smouha Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.0
Scoring Efficiency
4.3
Defensive Lock
7.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Al Ahly Data Yield
1.2
Goals Scored
/Game
0.9
Goals Against
/Game
40%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Smouha Data Yield
1.3
Goals Scored
/Game
0.8
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 34%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
23.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
07.01.25
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
2
0
08.08.24
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
28.11.23
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
17.04.23
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
2
17.01.23
Egypt Cup: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
3
1
25.12.22
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
0
0
29.06.22
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
3
2
27.01.22
League Cup: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
3
0
25.11.21
Premier League: Al Ahly
Smouha SC
4
1
Recent Match Archive
Al Ahly Segment
07.04.26
Premier League: Ceramica Cleopatra
Al Ahly
1
1
D
21.03.26
Champions League (QF): Al Ahly
Espérance Tunis
2
3
L
15.03.26
Champions League (QF): Espérance Tunis
Al Ahly
1
0
L
09.03.26
Premier League: Tala’ea El Gaish
Al Ahly
2
1
L
05.03.26
Premier League: Arab Contractors
Al Ahly
1
3
W
28.02.26
Premier League: Al Ahly
ZED FC
1
1
D
23.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
W
19.02.26
Premier League: Al Ahly
El Gouna FC
1
0
W
15.02.26
Champions League (GS): Al Ahly
FAR Rabat
0
0
D
11.02.26
Premier League: Al Ahly
Ismaily SC
2
0
W
Smouha Segment
07.04.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
ENPPI SC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Modern Sport
3
0
W
01.03.26
Premier League: National Bank of Egypt
Smouha SC
1
3
W
23.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Al Ahly
0
1
L
16.02.26
Premier League: Al Ittihad
Smouha SC
1
0
L
11.02.26
Premier League: Zamalek SC
Smouha SC
1
0
L
04.02.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Pyramids FC
2
1
W
29.01.26
Premier League: ENPPI SC
Smouha SC
1
2
W
21.01.26
Premier League: Smouha SC
Pharco FC
2
0
W
11.01.26
Egypt Cup: Smouha SC
Haras El Hodood
1
0
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Saturday, 11th April 2026, Al Ahly host Smouha in Egypt Premier League. Analysis points to Al Ahly to win.

Al Ahly arrive showing mixed form — 4W 3D 3L from 10 matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.9 per game.

Smouha are inconsistent on the road — 6W 0D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per match.

The H2H record stands: Al Ahly 6 wins, Smouha 2 wins, 2 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 30% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, al ahly to win at 1.34 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Egypt Premier League battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.34 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Al Ahly vs Smouha?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahly to win at 1.34. Confidence: 50%.
2 What is Al Ahly's performance matrix?
Al Ahly: 4W 3D 3L in 10 — inconsistent.
3 How has Smouha been performing on the road?
Smouha: 6W 0D 4L in 10 — decent form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Al Ahly 6 wins, Smouha 2, 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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