Scottish Cup Saturday, 23rd May 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
CE
Celtic
W W W W W
3-1
DU
Dunfermline
L D D W D
SelectionOver 2.5 @ 1.49
Calculated Probability73%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Celtic 3-1 Dunfermline
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
Over 2.5
Statistical data points toward over 2.5 goals as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.49
~90% conversion
Confidence Weight
73% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.49
H2H Over 2.5 70% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
3.40
Goals Combined / Match
High scoring fluidity observed. Anticipate rapid early phase transitions and high defensive spatial stretch.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
2.10
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Moderate containment matrices. Defenses hold robust configurations but remain vulnerable to tier-1 isolation scenarios.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Celtic
W W W W W W W W L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
80%
Dunfermline
L D D W D W L W D L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Celtic10 Wins
Neutral Split0 Splits
Dunfermline0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Over 2.5 goals in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 2.8).
Recent Run Ratios
Celtic Win Success Rate9/10
Dunfermline Win Success Rate3/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.8
H2H Interaction Means2.8
Dynamic Equilibrium Over 2.5 goals in 50% of recent games.
9-0-1
Celtic
Record
3-4-3
Dunfermline
Record
50%
Mutual
BTTS
2.8
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Celtic Core Capability
Overall Strength
9.0
Scoring Efficiency
8.7
Defensive Lock
6.0
Dunfermline Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.2
Scoring Efficiency
2.7
Defensive Lock
7.0
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Celtic Data Yield
2.6
Goals Scored
/Game
1.2
Goals Against
/Game
10%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Dunfermline Data Yield
0.8
Goals Scored
/Game
0.9
Goals Against
/Game
50%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
17.08.19
LC
Celtic
(a.e.t. 1-1) Dunfermline
2
1
22.02.12
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
2
0
02.01.12
PRE
Dunfermline
Celtic
0
3
23.11.11
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
2
1
07.02.10
SC
Dunfermline
Celtic
2
4
26.05.07
SC
Celtic
Dunfermline
1
0
03.03.07
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
2
1
10.12.06
PRE
Dunfermline
Celtic
1
2
16.09.06
PRE
Celtic
Dunfermline
1
0
19.03.06
LC
Dunfermline
Celtic
0
3
Recent Match Archive
Celtic Segment
16.05.26
PRE
Celtic
Hearts
3
1
W
13.05.26
PRE
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
W
10.05.26
PRE
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
03.05.26
PRE
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
W
25.04.26
PRE
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
19.04.26
SC
Celtic
St. Mirren
6
2
W
11.04.26
PRE
Celtic
St. Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
PRE
Dundee FC
Celtic
1
2
W
22.03.26
PRE
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
0
L
14.03.26
PRE
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
Dunfermline Segment
15.05.26
PRE
Partick Thistle
Dunfermline
2
1
L
12.05.26
PRE
Dunfermline
Partick Thistle
1
1
D
08.05.26
PRE
Arbroath
Dunfermline
0
0
D
05.05.26
PRE
Dunfermline
Arbroath
1
0
W
01.05.26
CHA
Dunfermline
Arbroath
0
0
D
25.04.26
CHA
Queen’s Park
Dunfermline
0
2
W
21.04.26
CHA
Dunfermline
St Johnstone
0
2
L
18.04.26
SC
Dunfermline
(a.e.t. 0-0) Falkirk
1
0
W
14.04.26
CHA
Airdrieonians
Dunfermline
2
2
D
11.04.26
CHA
Partick Thistle
Dunfermline
2
0
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Celtic host Dunfermline in Scottish Cup. Analysis points to over 2.5 goals.

Celtic arrive in strong form — 9W 0D 1L from 10 matches, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.

Dunfermline are struggling away — 3W 4D 3L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.9 per match.

The H2H record stands: Celtic 10 wins, Dunfermline 0 wins, 0 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 50% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, over 2.5 goals at 1.49 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Scottish Cup battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is Over 2.5, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.49 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Celtic vs Dunfermline?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at 1.49. Confidence: 73%.
2 What is Celtic's performance matrix?
Celtic: 9W 0D 1L in 10 — very good form.
3 How has Dunfermline been performing on the road?
Dunfermline: 3W 4D 3L in 10 — inconsistent.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Celtic 10 wins, Dunfermline 0, 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.