Estonia Meistriliiga Saturday, 11th July 2026
⏳ CALCULATING
NO
Nomme Utd
L W L W L
VS
KU
Kuressaare
L L D W D
Venue GroundMänniku Stadium (Tallinn)
Kick-Off3:00 pm
SelectionOver 2.5 @ 1.48
Calculated Probability78%
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
Over 2.5
Statistical data points toward over 2.5 goals as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.48
~80% conversion
Confidence Weight
78% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.48
Over Over 2.5 75% probability
Over Over 1.5 85% probability
Both BTTS Yes 70% probability
H2H Over 2.5 78% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.40
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.70
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Nomme Utd
L W L W L L L L W W
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
Kuressaare
L L D W D W L L L L
Critical Run 4 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Nomme Utd2 Wins
Neutral Split4 Splits
Kuressaare3 Wins
Favourable Baseline Over 2.5 goals in 78% of H2H meetings (avg 3.6).
Recent Run Ratios
Nomme Utd Win Success Rate4/10
Kuressaare Win Success Rate2/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.1
H2H Interaction Means3.6
Form Convergent Over 2.5 goals in 75% of recent games.
4-0-6
Nomme Utd
Record
2-2-6
Kuressaare
Record
100%
Mutual
BTTS
3.6
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Nomme Utd Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.0
Scoring Efficiency
5.3
Defensive Lock
2.7
Kuressaare Core Capability
Overall Strength
2.6
Scoring Efficiency
2.7
Defensive Lock
5.0
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Nomme Utd Data Yield
1.6
Goals Scored
/Game
2.2
Goals Against
/Game
0%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Kuressaare Data Yield
0.8
Goals Scored
/Game
1.5
Goals Against
/Game
10%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
20.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
07.02.26
CF
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
3
3
19.01.25
CF
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
28.09.24
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
4
1
01.09.24
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
2
16.06.24
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
1
1
04.05.24
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
1
1
17.02.23
CF
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
3
1
Recent Match Archive
Nomme Utd Segment
03.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kalju
1
3
L
20.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Nomme Utd
1
3
W
17.06.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Levadia
1
2
L
13.06.26
ML
Narva
Nomme Utd
1
2
W
29.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
L
20.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
L
15.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Nomme Utd
3
1
L
10.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Nomme Utd
2
3
W
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
W
Kuressaare Segment
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
0
3
L
26.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
L
16.06.26
ML
Kuressaare
Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
W
31.05.26
ML
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
20.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
W
17.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
2
L
08.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
02.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Levadia
1
2
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
L
Splits Isolation by Venue
Nomme Utd Home Ground Matches
03.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kalju
1
3
L
17.06.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Levadia
1
2
L
29.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
L
10.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Paide
2
3
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
W
18.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Harju JK Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Narva
5
1
W
21.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Parnu JK Vaprus
7
1
W
14.02.26
CF
Nomme Utd
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
Kuressaare Out of Domain Matches
26.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
L
13.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
W
31.05.26
ML
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
08.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
L
18.04.26
ML
Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
L
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
L
08.03.26
ML
Levadia
Kuressaare
2
0
L
31.01.26
CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kuressaare
9
2
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Nomme Utd host Kuressaare at Männiku Stadium (Tallinn) in Estonia Meistriliiga. Analysis points to over 2.5 goals.

Nomme Utd arrive showing mixed form — 4W 0D 6L from 10 matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 per game.

Kuressaare are struggling away — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per match.

The H2H record stands: Nomme Utd 2 wins, Kuressaare 3 wins, 4 draws in 9 meetings. Both sides scored in 100% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, over 2.5 goals at 1.48 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

A pre-match read should feel like a proper briefing, not a sales pitch. So that is what we are offering for this Estonia Meistriliiga game — a straight account of what the evidence says and why we are backing what we are backing.

The home side’s record reads 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Most casual bettors will see a team that looks solid at home and back them without a second thought. We dig further. We work through the recent home matches individually, asking the questions that actually matter: are the goals coming from open play or set pieces? Are defensive errors creeping in? Have the key players been fit and on the pitch? A handful of recent games at Männiku Stadium (Tallinn) gives you a portrait of the team as it exists today, not as it looked when conditions were different.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and the same discipline applies. Sides that travel well right now tend to keep travelling well for a stretch; sides struggling on the road usually keep struggling until something structural shifts. Working out which camp the visitors currently sit in is worth the effort, because the market does not always price it correctly.

With both ends assessed, our recommendation is Over 2.5 at @1.48, a number we are comfortable standing behind at around 80%. The match gets going at 3:00 pm.

That is the briefing, start to finish. None of this guarantees an outcome — nothing does in this sport — but a bet grounded in recent evidence is a far steadier proposition than one built on a hunch or a famous name. Head over to the rest of the site for today’s full set of tips — every one given the same honest workover.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Nomme Utd vs Kuressaare?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at 1.48. Confidence: 78%.
2 What is Nomme Utd's performance matrix?
Nomme Utd: 4W 0D 6L in 10 — inconsistent.
3 How has Kuressaare been performing on the road?
Kuressaare: 2W 2D 6L in 10 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Nomme Utd 2 wins, Kuressaare 3, 4 draws in 9 meetings. Avg 3.6 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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