China Super League Friday, 17th July 2026
⏳ CALCULATING
BE
Beijing Guoan
W W W W L
VS
LI
Liaoning Tieren
W L L W W
Venue GroundWorkers' Stadium (Beijing)
Kick-Off12:35 pm
Selection1 @ 1.40
Calculated Probability47%
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Beijing Guoan to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.40
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
47% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Beijing Guoan to win @1.40
Over Over 2.5 75% probability
Over Over 1.5 85% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
3.90
Goals Combined / Match
High scoring fluidity observed. Anticipate rapid early phase transitions and high defensive spatial stretch.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.20
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Beijing Guoan
W W W W L D W D W D
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
Liaoning Tieren
W L L W W W D L L L
Critical Run 3 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Beijing Guoan0 Wins
Neutral Split0 Splits
Liaoning Tieren1 Wins
Negative Variance Beijing Guoan won 0 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Beijing Guoan Win Success Rate6/10
Liaoning Tieren Win Success Rate4/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.6
H2H Interaction Means3
Form Convergent Beijing Guoan: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Beijing Guoan
Record
4-1-5
Liaoning Tieren
Record
100%
Mutual
BTTS
3
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Beijing Guoan Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.9
Scoring Efficiency
7.3
Defensive Lock
5.7
Liaoning Tieren Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.3
Scoring Efficiency
5.7
Defensive Lock
3.7
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Beijing Guoan Data Yield
2.2
Goals Scored
/Game
1.3
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Liaoning Tieren Data Yield
1.7
Goals Scored
/Game
1.9
Goals Against
/Game
10%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
04.04.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Beijing Guoan
2
1
Recent Match Archive
Beijing Guoan Segment
04.07.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Taishan
2
0
W
27.06.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
W
19.06.26
FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power
Beijing Guoan
1
2
W
30.05.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Beijing Guoan
2
3
W
23.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Henan Songshan Longmen
1
2
L
19.05.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
15.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Hainiu
4
2
W
10.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Port
2
2
D
06.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Yingbo
3
0
W
02.05.26
SL
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
Liaoning Tieren Segment
04.07.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3
1
W
27.06.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Shandong Taishan
1
5
L
19.06.26
FAC
Dalian Kewei
Liaoning Tieren
1
0
L
29.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Shanghai Port
3
2
W
24.05.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Liaoning Tieren
0
5
W
20.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Qingdao Hainiu
2
1
W
16.05.26
SL
Wuhan Three Towns
Liaoning Tieren
2
2
D
10.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Yunnan Yukun
1
2
L
05.05.26
SL
Liaoning Tieren
Chengdu Rongcheng
0
1
L
01.05.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Liaoning Tieren
4
0
L
Splits Isolation by Venue
Beijing Guoan Home Ground Matches
04.07.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Taishan
2
0
W
27.06.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
W
23.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Henan Songshan Longmen
1
2
L
15.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Hainiu
4
2
W
10.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Port
2
2
D
06.05.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Yingbo
3
0
W
25.04.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2
4
L
12.04.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
2
L
21.03.26
SL
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
11.12.25
CL2
Beijing Guoan
Macarthur FC
1
2
L
Liaoning Tieren Out of Domain Matches
19.06.26
FAC
Dalian Kewei
Liaoning Tieren
1
0
L
24.05.26
SL
Zhejiang Professional
Liaoning Tieren
0
5
W
16.05.26
SL
Wuhan Three Towns
Liaoning Tieren
2
2
D
01.05.26
SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
Liaoning Tieren
4
0
L
26.04.26
SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Liaoning Tieren
1
0
L
18.04.26
SL
Shanghai Shenhua
Liaoning Tieren
3
1
L
11.04.26
SL
Qingdao West Coast
Liaoning Tieren
1
1
D
14.03.26
SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Liaoning Tieren
1
0
L
07.03.26
SL
Shandong Taishan
Liaoning Tieren
3
0
L
01.11.25
L1
Nanjing City
Liaoning Tieren
1
1
D
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Beijing Guoan host Liaoning Tieren at Workers' Stadium (Beijing) in China Super League. Analysis points to Beijing Guoan to win.

Beijing Guoan arrive showing mixed form — 6W 3D 1L from 10 matches, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game.

Liaoning Tieren are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.9 per match.

The H2H record stands: Beijing Guoan 0 wins, Liaoning Tieren 1 wins, 0 draws in 1 meetings. Both sides scored in 100% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, beijing guoan to win at 1.40 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

A pre-match read should feel like a proper briefing, not a sales pitch. So that is what we are offering for this China Super League game — a straight account of what the evidence says and why we are backing what we are backing.

The home side’s record reads 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Most casual bettors will see a team that looks solid at home and back them without a second thought. We dig further. We work through the recent home matches individually, asking the questions that actually matter: are the goals coming from open play or set pieces? Are defensive errors creeping in? Have the key players been fit and on the pitch? A handful of recent games at Workers’ Stadium (Beijing) gives you a portrait of the team as it exists today, not as it looked when conditions were different.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and the same discipline applies. Sides that travel well right now tend to keep travelling well for a stretch; sides struggling on the road usually keep struggling until something structural shifts. Working out which camp the visitors currently sit in is worth the effort, because the market does not always price it correctly.

With both ends assessed, our recommendation is 1 at @1.40, a number we are comfortable standing behind at around 50,30,20%. The match gets going at 12:35 pm.

That is the briefing, start to finish. None of this guarantees an outcome — nothing does in this sport — but a bet grounded in recent evidence is a far steadier proposition than one built on a hunch or a famous name. Head over to the rest of the site for today’s full set of tips — every one given the same honest workover.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren?
Our selection is 1 — Beijing Guoan to win at 1.40. Confidence: 47%.
2 What is Beijing Guoan's performance matrix?
Beijing Guoan: 6W 3D 1L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Liaoning Tieren been performing on the road?
Liaoning Tieren: 4W 1D 5L in 10 — inconsistent.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Beijing Guoan 0 wins, Liaoning Tieren 1, 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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