Eredivisie Sunday, 17th May 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
AZ
AZ Alkmaar
D D D W D
3-3
NA
NAC Breda
W L L D D
Selection1 @ 1.33
Calculated Probability55%
Status Summary — ✕ Unsuccessful · AZ Alkmaar 3-3 NAC Breda
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward AZ Alkmaar to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.33
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
55% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win @1.33
Over Over 1.5 85% probability
Both BTTS No 65% probability
H2H Over 2.5 70% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.70
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.10
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
AZ Alkmaar
D D D W D W L W L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
NAC Breda
W L L D D L L D L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
AZ Alkmaar8 Wins
Neutral Split1 Splits
NAC Breda1 Wins
Favourable Baseline AZ Alkmaar won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
AZ Alkmaar Win Success Rate4/10
NAC Breda Win Success Rate2/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.9
H2H Interaction Means3.1
Structural Divergence AZ Alkmaar: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games.
4-4-2
AZ Alkmaar
Record
2-3-5
NAC Breda
Record
60%
Mutual
BTTS
3.1
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
AZ Alkmaar Core Capability
Overall Strength
5.2
Scoring Efficiency
6.3
Defensive Lock
6.0
NAC Breda Core Capability
Overall Strength
2.9
Scoring Efficiency
2.7
Defensive Lock
3.7
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
AZ Alkmaar Data Yield
1.9
Goals Scored
/Game
1.2
Goals Against
/Game
40%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
NAC Breda Data Yield
0.8
Goals Scored
/Game
1.9
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 24%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
31.08.25
ERE
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
24.04.25
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
1
1
15.12.24
ERE
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
12.02.20
KNV
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
1
3
08.02.19
ERE
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
12.08.18
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
5
0
17.02.18
ERE
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
10.09.17
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
2
1
10.05.15
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
2
08.11.14
ERE
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
Recent Match Archive
AZ Alkmaar Segment
10.05.26
ERE
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
03.05.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
23.04.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
0
D
19.04.26
KNV
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen
5
1
W
16.04.26
UECL
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
L
04.04.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
ERE
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
L
19.03.26
UECL
Sparta Prague
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
W
NAC Breda Segment
11.05.26
ERE
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
2
0
W
02.05.26
ERE
Utrecht
NAC Breda
2
0
L
25.04.26
ERE
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
12.04.26
ERE
Sittard
NAC Breda
1
1
D
05.04.26
ERE
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
21.03.26
ERE
Zwolle
NAC Breda
2
1
L
15.03.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
NAC Breda
6
0
L
08.03.26
ERE
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
3
3
D
27.02.26
ERE
Telstar
NAC Breda
3
0
L
21.02.26
ERE
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
1
0
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Sunday, 17th May 2026, AZ Alkmaar host NAC Breda in Eredivisie. Analysis points to AZ Alkmaar to win.

AZ Alkmaar arrive showing mixed form — 4W 4D 2L from 10 matches, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.2 per game.

NAC Breda are struggling away — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.9 per match.

The H2H record stands: AZ Alkmaar 8 wins, NAC Breda 1 wins, 1 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 60% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, az alkmaar to win at 1.33 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Eredivisie battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.33 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?
Our selection is 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win at 1.33. Confidence: 55%.
2 What is AZ Alkmaar's performance matrix?
AZ Alkmaar: 4W 4D 2L in 10 — inconsistent.
3 How has NAC Breda been performing on the road?
NAC Breda: 2W 3D 5L in 10 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
AZ Alkmaar 8 wins, NAC Breda 1, 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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