Tunisian League Thursday, 23rd April 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
ES
Esperance Tunis
L L D W W
2-2
ZA
Zarzis
W D W L D
Selection1 @ 1.27
Calculated Probability53%
Status Summary — ✕ Unsuccessful · Esperance Tunis 2-2 Zarzis
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Esperance Tunis to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.27
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
53% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Esperance Tunis to win @1.27
Under Under 2.5 75% probability
Both BTTS No 75% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
1.70
Goals Combined / Match
Low frequency chance creation environments. High structural preservation and heavily contested zones expected.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
1.50
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Premium clean sheet consolidation indicators. Solid tactical low blocks minimize error metrics.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Esperance Tunis
L L D W W W W W D L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
Zarzis
D D D L D L L D D L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
0%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Esperance Tunis6 Wins
Neutral Split1 Splits
Zarzis3 Wins
Favourable Baseline Esperance Tunis won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Esperance Tunis Win Success Rate5/10
Zarzis Win Success Rate0/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match1.6
H2H Interaction Means2.5
Dynamic Equilibrium Esperance Tunis: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
Esperance Tunis
Record
0-6-4
Zarzis
Record
50%
Mutual
BTTS
2.5
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Esperance Tunis Core Capability
Overall Strength
5.6
Scoring Efficiency
4.7
Defensive Lock
8.0
Zarzis Core Capability
Overall Strength
1.8
Scoring Efficiency
1.0
Defensive Lock
7.0
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Esperance Tunis Data Yield
1.4
Goals Scored
/Game
0.6
Goals Against
/Game
50%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Zarzis Data Yield
0.3
Goals Scored
/Game
0.9
Goals Against
/Game
40%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 33%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 33%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
22.10.25
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
0
0
18.05.25
CUP
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
3
1
19.02.25
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
4
2
20.10.24
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
0
27.04.18
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
0
29.11.17
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
2
0
19.02.17
CUP
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
2
0
29.05.16
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
2
30.12.15
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
1
2
22.03.15
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
2
1
Recent Match Archive
Esperance Tunis Segment
18.04.26
CL
Mamelodi Sundowns
Esperance Tunis
1
0
L
12.04.26
CL
Esperance Tunis
Mamelodi Sundowns
0
1
L
04.04.26
LP1
Etoile Sahel
Esperance Tunis
0
0
D
28.03.26
CUP
WS Hamma
Esperance Tunis
0
5
W
21.03.26
CL
Al Ahly
Esperance Tunis
2
3
W
15.03.26
CL
Esperance Tunis
Al Ahly
1
0
W
07.03.26
LP1
Esperance Tunis
AS Marsa
1
0
W
01.03.26
LP1
Olympique Beja
Esperance Tunis
0
3
W
25.02.26
LP1
Metlaoui
Esperance Tunis
1
1
D
21.02.26
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
Zarzis Segment
19.04.26
CUP
Monastir
Zarzis (1 - 3 Pens)
1
1
W
04.04.26
LP1
Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
22.03.26
CUP
Zarzis
Korba (Penalties)
0
0
W
06.03.26
LP1
Soliman
Zarzis
1
0
L
27.02.26
LP1
Zarzis
JS Kairouan
1
1
D
15.02.26
LP1
Monastir
Zarzis
3
0
L
07.02.26
LP1
Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
31.01.26
LP1
Ben Guerdane
Zarzis
0
0
D
27.01.26
LP1
Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
23.01.26
LP1
JS Omrane
Zarzis
2
1
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, Esperance Tunis host Zarzis in Tunisian League. Analysis points to Esperance Tunis to win.

Esperance Tunis arrive showing mixed form — 5W 2D 3L from 10 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game.

Zarzis are struggling away — 0W 6D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.9 per match.

The H2H record stands: Esperance Tunis 6 wins, Zarzis 3 wins, 1 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 50% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, esperance tunis to win at 1.27 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Tunisian League battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.27 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Esperance Tunis vs Zarzis?
Our selection is 1 — Esperance Tunis to win at 1.27. Confidence: 53%.
2 What is Esperance Tunis's performance matrix?
Esperance Tunis: 5W 2D 3L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Zarzis been performing on the road?
Zarzis: 0W 6D 4L in 10 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Esperance Tunis 6 wins, Zarzis 3, 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 1.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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