Estonian Cup Tuesday, 5th May 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
FL
Flora
W W W L W
1-0
NA
Narva
L L L L L
Selection1 @ 1.20
Calculated Probability63%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Flora 1-0 Narva
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Flora to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.20
~60% conversion
Confidence Weight
63% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Flora to win @1.20
Over Over 2.5 80% probability
Over Over 1.5 90% probability
H2H Over 2.5 80% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
3.30
Goals Combined / Match
High scoring fluidity observed. Anticipate rapid early phase transitions and high defensive spatial stretch.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
4.30
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Flora
W W W L W W L L L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
Narva
L L L L L W L W L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Flora7 Wins
Neutral Split3 Splits
Narva0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Flora won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Flora Win Success Rate6/10
Narva Win Success Rate3/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.8
H2H Interaction Means4.1
Form Convergent Flora: 6W 0D 4L from 10 games.
6-0-4
Flora
Record
3-0-7
Narva
Record
80%
Mutual
BTTS
4.1
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Flora Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.0
Scoring Efficiency
7.0
Defensive Lock
5.7
Narva Core Capability
Overall Strength
3.0
Scoring Efficiency
4.0
Defensive Lock
0.0
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Flora Data Yield
2.1
Goals Scored
/Game
1.3
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Narva Data Yield
1.2
Goals Scored
/Game
3
Goals Against
/Game
10%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 54%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
22.04.26
ML
Flora
Narva
6
0
21.10.25
ML
Flora
Narva
4
0
02.08.25
ML
Narva
Flora
1
1
18.06.25
ML
Narva
Flora
1
2
01.03.25
ML
Flora
Narva
2
2
17.09.24
ML
Narva
Flora
1
1
03.08.24
ML
Flora
Narva
3
1
18.05.24
ML
Narva
Flora
1
3
06.04.24
ML
Flora
Narva
4
3
25.02.24
SC
Flora
Narva
3
2
Recent Match Archive
Flora Segment
30.04.26
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
5
0
W
26.04.26
ML
Paide
Flora
1
2
W
22.04.26
ML
Flora
Narva
6
0
W
19.04.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
4
0
L
12.04.26
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
W
03.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Flora
3
1
L
22.03.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
2
0
L
15.03.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
L
10.03.26
CUP
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
1
W
Narva Segment
01.05.26
ML
Narva
Kalju
0
3
L
26.04.26
ML
Levadia
Narva
7
0
L
22.04.26
ML
Flora
Narva
6
0
L
18.04.26
ML
Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
11.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Narva
5
1
L
07.04.26
ML
Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.04.26
ML
Kalju
Narva
2
1
L
21.03.26
ML
Narva
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
1
W
15.03.26
ML
Paide
Narva
1
0
L
11.03.26
CUP
Narva
Viimsi JK
4
3
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Flora host Narva in Estonian Cup. Analysis points to Flora to win.

Flora arrive showing mixed form — 6W 0D 4L from 10 matches, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.3 per game.

Narva are struggling away — 3W 0D 7L in 10 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 3 per match.

The H2H record stands: Flora 7 wins, Narva 0 wins, 3 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 80% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, flora to win at 1.20 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Estonian Cup battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.20 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Flora vs Narva?
Our selection is 1 — Flora to win at 1.20. Confidence: 63%.
2 What is Flora's performance matrix?
Flora: 6W 0D 4L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Narva been performing on the road?
Narva: 3W 0D 7L in 10 — inconsistent.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Flora 7 wins, Narva 0, 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4.1 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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