Estonia Meistriliiga Friday, 17th July 2026
⏳ CALCULATING
FL
Flora
D L W W L
VS
NO
Nomme Utd
W L W L W
Venue GroundA. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Kick-Off5:00 pm
Selection1 @ 1.25
Calculated Probability62%
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Flora to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.25
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
62% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Flora to win @1.25
Over Over 2.5 100% probability
Over Over 1.5 100% probability
Both BTTS Yes 80% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
4.20
Goals Combined / Match
High scoring fluidity observed. Anticipate rapid early phase transitions and high defensive spatial stretch.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.60
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Flora
D L W W L W L W W W
Positive Momentum 3 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
80%
Nomme Utd
W L W L W L L L L W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Flora6 Wins
Neutral Split1 Splits
Nomme Utd0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Flora won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Flora Win Success Rate6/10
Nomme Utd Win Success Rate4/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.9
H2H Interaction Means2.9
Form Convergent Flora: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Flora
Record
4-0-6
Nomme Utd
Record
29%
Mutual
BTTS
2.9
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Flora Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.3
Scoring Efficiency
8.3
Defensive Lock
5.7
Nomme Utd Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.0
Scoring Efficiency
5.7
Defensive Lock
2.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Flora Data Yield
2.5
Goals Scored
/Game
1.3
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Nomme Utd Data Yield
1.7
Goals Scored
/Game
2.3
Goals Against
/Game
0%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 46%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 57%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
29.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
10.03.26
CUP
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
1
07.03.26
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
0
05.10.24
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
18.08.24
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
1
0
29.06.24
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
1
1
01.03.24
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
2
0
Recent Match Archive
Flora Segment
14.07.26
CL
Iberia 1999
Flora
2
2
D
08.07.26
CL
Flora
Iberia 1999
2
3
L
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
0
3
W
28.06.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
1
2
W
21.06.26
ML
Flora
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
1
2
W
13.06.26
ML
Flora
Levadia
1
3
L
29.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
W
23.05.26
CUP
Paide
Flora
1
5
W
16.05.26
ML
Narva
Flora
0
3
W
Nomme Utd Segment
11.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
3
2
W
03.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kalju
1
3
L
20.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Nomme Utd
1
3
W
17.06.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Levadia
1
2
L
13.06.26
ML
Narva
Nomme Utd
1
2
W
29.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
L
20.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
L
15.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Nomme Utd
3
1
L
10.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Nomme Utd
2
3
W
Splits Isolation by Venue
Flora Home Ground Matches
08.07.26
CL
Flora
Iberia 1999
2
3
L
21.06.26
ML
Flora
Paide
1
2
L
13.06.26
ML
Flora
Levadia
1
3
L
05.05.26
CUP
Flora
Narva
1
0
W
30.04.26
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
5
0
W
22.04.26
ML
Flora
Narva
6
0
W
12.04.26
ML
Flora
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
0
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
W
15.03.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
L
10.03.26
CUP
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
1
W
Nomme Utd Out of Domain Matches
20.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Nomme Utd
1
3
W
13.06.26
ML
Narva
Nomme Utd
1
2
W
20.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
L
15.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Nomme Utd
3
1
L
02.05.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Nomme Utd
2
3
W
22.04.26
ML
Kalju
Nomme Utd
7
1
L
08.04.26
ML
Paide
Nomme Utd
3
1
L
04.04.26
ML
Levadia
Nomme Utd
1
1
D
10.03.26
CUP
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
1
L
07.03.26
ML
Flora
Nomme Utd
3
0
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Flora host Nomme Utd at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) in Estonia Meistriliiga. Analysis points to Flora to win.

Flora arrive showing mixed form — 6W 1D 3L from 10 matches, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.3 per game.

Nomme Utd are inconsistent on the road — 4W 0D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.3 per match.

The H2H record stands: Flora 6 wins, Nomme Utd 0 wins, 1 draws in 7 meetings. Both sides scored in 29% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, flora to win at 1.25 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

A pre-match read should feel like a proper briefing, not a sales pitch. So that is what we are offering for this Estonia Meistriliiga game — a straight account of what the evidence says and why we are backing what we are backing.

The home side’s record reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Most casual bettors will see a team that looks solid at home and back them without a second thought. We dig further. We work through the recent home matches individually, asking the questions that actually matter: are the goals coming from open play or set pieces? Are defensive errors creeping in? Have the key players been fit and on the pitch? A handful of recent games at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) gives you a portrait of the team as it exists today, not as it looked when conditions were different.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and the same discipline applies. Sides that travel well right now tend to keep travelling well for a stretch; sides struggling on the road usually keep struggling until something structural shifts. Working out which camp the visitors currently sit in is worth the effort, because the market does not always price it correctly.

With both ends assessed, our recommendation is 1 at @1.25, a number we are comfortable standing behind at around 50,30,20%. The match gets going at 5:00 pm.

That is the briefing, start to finish. None of this guarantees an outcome — nothing does in this sport — but a bet grounded in recent evidence is a far steadier proposition than one built on a hunch or a famous name. Head over to the rest of the site for today’s full set of tips — every one given the same honest workover.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Flora vs Nomme Utd?
Our selection is 1 — Flora to win at 1.25. Confidence: 62%.
2 What is Flora's performance matrix?
Flora: 6W 1D 3L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Nomme Utd been performing on the road?
Nomme Utd: 4W 0D 6L in 10 — inconsistent.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Flora 6 wins, Nomme Utd 0, 1 draws in 7 meetings. Avg 2.9 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 29%.
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