Lithuania 1 Lyga Friday, 15th May 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
GA
Garliava
W W W L D
3-0
KA
Kauno Zalgiris 2
L L L L L
Selection1 @ 1.31
Calculated Probability34%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Garliava 3-0 Kauno Zalgiris 2
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Garliava to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.31
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
34% Low Variance Speculative
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Garliava to win @1.31
H2H Over 2.5 75% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.00
Goals Combined / Match
Low frequency chance creation environments. High structural preservation and heavily contested zones expected.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.40
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Garliava
W W W L D L D L W L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
Kauno Zalgiris 2
L L L L W L L L L L
Critical Run 5 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
0%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Garliava0 Wins
Neutral Split3 Splits
Kauno Zalgiris 21 Wins
Negative Variance Garliava won 0 of the last 4 meetings (3 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Garliava Win Success Rate4/10
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win Success Rate1/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.7
H2H Interaction Means3
Structural Divergence Garliava: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
Garliava
Record
1-0-9
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Record
50%
Mutual
BTTS
3
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Garliava Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.6
Scoring Efficiency
4.3
Defensive Lock
5.3
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Core Capability
Overall Strength
1.0
Scoring Efficiency
2.3
Defensive Lock
3.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Garliava Data Yield
1.3
Goals Scored
/Game
1.4
Goals Against
/Game
20%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Data Yield
0.7
Goals Scored
/Game
2
Goals Against
/Game
10%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
08.11.24
IL
Garliava
Kauno Zalgiris 2
0
4
21.06.24
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Garliava
2
2
13.10.23
IL
Garliava
Kauno Zalgiris 2
0
0
29.05.23
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Garliava
2
2
Recent Match Archive
Garliava Segment
09.05.26
IL
BFA Vilnius
Garliava
1
2
W
02.05.26
IL
Garliava
Ekranas
3
1
W
29.04.26
CUP
AFK Vilnius
Garliava
0
3
W
24.04.26
IL
Babrungas
Garliava
1
0
L
18.04.26
IL
Garliava
BE1 NFA
2
2
D
04.04.26
IL
Tauras Taurage
Garliava
2
0
L
21.03.26
IL
Garliava
Hegelmann Litauen 2
1
1
D
17.03.26
IL
Garliava
Neptunas
0
3
W
14.03.26
IL
Garliava
Jonava
2
0
W
27.05.25
CUP
Garliava
FK Panevezys
0
3
L
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Segment
08.05.26
IL
Ekranas
Kauno Zalgiris 2
1
0
L
02.05.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
BE1 NFA
0
1
L
24.04.26
IL
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Kauno Zalgiris 2
2
0
L
19.04.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
FK Minija
0
4
L
12.04.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Zalgiris 2
0
1
L
04.04.26
IL
Jonava
Kauno Zalgiris 2
3
1
L
18.03.26
IL
Atmosfera
Kauno Zalgiris 2
2
1
L
13.03.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Tauras Taurage
1
2
L
09.11.25
IL
Nevezis Kedainiai
Kauno Zalgiris 2
4
3
L
31.10.25
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Tauras Taurage
0
1
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Garliava host Kauno Zalgiris 2 in Lithuania 1 Lyga. Analysis points to Garliava to win.

Garliava arrive showing mixed form — 4W 2D 4L from 10 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Kauno Zalgiris 2 are struggling away — 1W 0D 9L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2 per match.

The H2H record stands: Garliava 0 wins, Kauno Zalgiris 2 1 wins, 3 draws in 4 meetings. Both sides scored in 50% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, garliava to win at 1.31 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Lithuania 1 Lyga battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.31 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Garliava vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Garliava to win at 1.31. Confidence: 34%.
2 What is Garliava's performance matrix?
Garliava: 4W 2D 4L in 10 — inconsistent.
3 How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing on the road?
Kauno Zalgiris 2: 1W 0D 9L in 10 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Garliava 0 wins, Kauno Zalgiris 2 1, 3 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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