Ireland National League Saturday, 26th September 2026
⏳ CALCULATING
HO
Home Farm
W W D W L
VS
CO
Cockhill
L L D L L
Venue GroundN/A
Kick-Off2:00 pm
Selection1X @ 1.05
Calculated Probability71%
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1X
Statistical data points toward Home Farm to win or draw as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.05
~78% conversion
Confidence Weight
★★★★★ 71% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1X — Home Farm to win or draw @1.05
Over Over 1.5 85% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.80
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.70
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Home Farm
W W D W D L L L L L
Critical Run 5 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
0%
Cockhill
L L D L L W L W L L
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Home Farm1 Wins
Neutral Split0 Splits
Cockhill0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Home Farm unbeaten in 1 of 1 H2H meetings.
Recent Run Ratios
Home Farm Win Success Rate3/10
Cockhill Win Success Rate2/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.3
H2H Interaction Means2
Dynamic Equilibrium Home Farm unbeaten in 5 of 10 recent games.
3-2-5
Home Farm
Record
2-1-7
Cockhill
Record
0%
Mutual
BTTS
2
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Home Farm Core Capability
Overall Strength
3.6 ▼
Scoring Efficiency
5.0 —
Defensive Lock
4.0 —
Cockhill Core Capability
Overall Strength
2.3 ▲
Scoring Efficiency
4.3 —
Defensive Lock
3.7 —
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Home Farm Data Yield
1.5
Goals Scored
/Game
1.8
Goals Against
/Game
20%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Cockhill Data Yield
1.3
Goals Scored
/Game
1.9
Goals Against
/Game
0%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
05.09.26
NL
Cockhill
Home Farm
0
2
Recent Match Archive
Home Farm Segment
12.09.26
NL
Mervue United
Home Farm
1
6
W
05.09.26
NL
Cockhill
Home Farm
0
2
W
29.08.26
NL
Bonagee
Home Farm
2
2
D
10.10.21
CF
Edenderry Town
Home Farm
0
1
W
21.04.19
FAI
Glengad Utd
Home Farm (5-4)
1
1
12.08.18
FAI
Home Farm
Cork City
1
5
L
08.06.08
FAI
Home Farm
Carrick Utd
0
2
L
23.07.03
FAI
Home Farm
Waterford
1
3
L
01.05.99
DIV
Home Farm
Longford
1
3
L
24.04.99
DIV
Kilkenny City
Home Farm
1
0
L
Cockhill Segment
19.09.26
NL
Lucan Utd
Cockhill
2
0
L
05.09.26
NL
Cockhill
Home Farm
0
2
L
29.08.26
NL
Mervue United
Cockhill
1
1
D
03.08.24
CF
Limavady
Cockhill
1
0
L
27.07.24
CF
Cockhill
Newington
1
3
L
26.07.24
CF
Dergview
Cockhill
1
2
W
19.07.24
FAI
Waterford
Cockhill
2
1
L
19.05.24
FAI
Cockhill
Ayrfield United
7
1
W
22.07.23
FAI
Cockhill
Bray
1
3
L
29.07.22
FAI
UC Dublin
Cockhill
3
0
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

A pre-match read should feel like a proper briefing, not a sales pitch. So that is what we are offering for this Ireland National League game — a straight account of what the evidence says and why we are backing what we are backing.

The home side’s record reads 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Most casual bettors will see a team that looks solid at home and back them without a second thought. We dig further. We work through the recent home matches individually, asking the questions that actually matter: are the goals coming from open play or set pieces? Are defensive errors creeping in? Have the key players been fit and on the pitch? A handful of recent games at N/A gives you a portrait of the team as it exists today, not as it looked when conditions were different.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games, and the same discipline applies. Sides that travel well right now tend to keep travelling well for a stretch; sides struggling on the road usually keep struggling until something structural shifts. Working out which camp the visitors currently sit in is worth the effort, because the market does not always price it correctly.

With both ends assessed, our recommendation is 1X at @1.05, a number we are comfortable standing behind at around 78%. The match gets going at 2:00 pm.

That is the briefing, start to finish. None of this guarantees an outcome — nothing does in this sport — but a bet grounded in recent evidence is a far steadier proposition than one built on a hunch or a famous name. Head over to the rest of the site for today’s full set of tips — every one given the same honest workover.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Home Farm vs Cockhill?
Our selection is 1X — Home Farm to win or draw at 1.05. Confidence: 71%.
2 What is Home Farm's performance matrix?
Home Farm: 3W 2D 5L in 10 — inconsistent.
3 How has Cockhill been performing on the road?
Cockhill: 2W 1D 7L in 10 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Home Farm 1 wins, Cockhill 0, 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 2 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.
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