Latvia Nakotnes liga Sunday, 28th June 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
JF
JFK Ventspils
L W W L L
0-2
VA
Valmiera
W W W D L
Kick-Off3:00 pm
Selection2 @ 1.41
Calculated Probability58%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · JFK Ventspils 0-2 Valmiera
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
2
Statistical data points toward Valmiera to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.41
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
58% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 2 — Valmiera to win @1.41
Over Over 2.5 75% probability
Over Over 1.5 85% probability
Both BTTS Yes 70% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
3.90
Goals Combined / Match
High scoring fluidity observed. Anticipate rapid early phase transitions and high defensive spatial stretch.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
2.90
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
JFK Ventspils
L W W L L D L L D D
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
0%
Valmiera
W W W D L D W W W W
Positive Momentum 4 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
80%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Variable Spread Historical interaction matrix unpopulated for this cycle.
Recent Run Ratios
JFK Ventspils Win Success Rate2/10
Valmiera Win Success Rate7/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.4
H2H Interaction Means
Form Convergent Valmiera: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
2-3-5
JFK Ventspils
Record
7-2-1
Valmiera
Record
Mutual
BTTS
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
JFK Ventspils Core Capability
Overall Strength
2.9
Scoring Efficiency
5.0
Defensive Lock
3.7
Valmiera Core Capability
Overall Strength
7.6
Scoring Efficiency
8.0
Defensive Lock
6.7
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
JFK Ventspils Data Yield
1.5
Goals Scored
/Game
1.9
Goals Against
/Game
20%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Valmiera Data Yield
2.4
Goals Scored
/Game
1
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 46%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History

Awaiting matrix population.

Recent Match Archive
JFK Ventspils Segment
20.06.26
LC
JFK Ventspils
Leevon PPK
1
3
L
14.06.26
NL
Marupe
JFK Ventspils
1
2
W
01.06.26
LC
Upesciema Warriors
JFK Ventspils
0
3
W
23.05.26
NL
Leevon PPK
JFK Ventspils
2
1
L
09.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Metta
0
1
L
02.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
RFS 2
0
0
D
26.04.26
NL
Riga FC 2
JFK Ventspils
4
2
L
11.04.26
NL
Super Nova 2
JFK Ventspils
3
1
L
04.04.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Tukums 2000 2
2
2
D
28.03.26
NL
FK Smiltene
JFK Ventspils
3
3
D
Valmiera Segment
22.06.26
LC
FK Smiltene
Valmiera
1
4
W
14.06.26
NL
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera
1
4
W
30.05.26
LC
Valmiera
Skanste
2
0
W
26.05.26
NL
Super Nova 2
Valmiera
0
0
D
16.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Valmiera
3
1
L
09.05.26
NL
Valmiera
Alberts JDFS
1
1
D
02.05.26
NL
Metta
Valmiera
1
2
W
26.04.26
NL
Valmiera
Rezekne
3
1
W
18.04.26
NL
Marupe
Valmiera
2
3
W
12.04.26
NL
Valmiera
FK Smiltene
4
0
W
Splits Isolation by Venue
JFK Ventspils Home Ground Matches
20.06.26
LC
JFK Ventspils
Leevon PPK
1
3
L
09.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Metta
0
1
L
02.05.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
RFS 2
0
0
D
04.04.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Tukums 2000 2
2
2
D
21.03.26
NL
JFK Ventspils
Riga Mariners
0
1
L
01.11.25
NL
JFK Ventspils
Marupe
1
0
W
19.10.25
NL
JFK Ventspils
Riga FC 2
2
2
D
27.09.25
NL
JFK Ventspils
RFS 2
0
2
L
13.09.25
NL
JFK Ventspils
Riga Mariners
1
2
L
22.08.25
NL
JFK Ventspils
Tukums 2000 2
4
1
W
Valmiera Out of Domain Matches
22.06.26
LC
FK Smiltene
Valmiera
1
4
W
14.06.26
NL
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera
1
4
W
26.05.26
NL
Super Nova 2
Valmiera
0
0
D
16.05.26
NL
Riga Mariners
Valmiera
3
1
L
02.05.26
NL
Metta
Valmiera
1
2
W
18.04.26
NL
Marupe
Valmiera
2
3
W
29.03.26
NL
RFS 2
Valmiera
1
5
W
21.03.26
NL
Riga FC 2
Valmiera
1
3
W
28.02.26
CF
Elva
Valmiera
2
1
L
21.02.26
CF
Paide Linnameeskond U21
Valmiera
0
1
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, JFK Ventspils host Valmiera in Latvia Nakotnes liga. Analysis points to Valmiera to win.

JFK Ventspils arrive in difficult form — 2W 3D 5L from 10 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.9 per game.

Valmiera are travelling well — 7W 2D 1L in 10 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1 per match.

On the balance of evidence, valmiera to win at 1.41 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

A pre-match read should feel like a proper briefing, not a sales pitch. So that is what we are offering for this Latvia Nakotnes liga game — a straight account of what the evidence says and why we are backing what we are backing.

The home side’s record reads 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Most casual bettors will see a team that looks solid at home and back them without a second thought. We dig further. We work through the recent home matches individually, asking the questions that actually matter: are the goals coming from open play or set pieces? Are defensive errors creeping in? Have the key players been fit and on the pitch? A handful of recent games at the host venue gives you a portrait of the team as it exists today, not as it looked when conditions were different.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and the same discipline applies. Sides that travel well right now tend to keep travelling well for a stretch; sides struggling on the road usually keep struggling until something structural shifts. Working out which camp the visitors currently sit in is worth the effort, because the market does not always price it correctly.

With both ends assessed, our recommendation is 2 at @1.41, a number we are comfortable standing behind at around 20,30,50%. The match gets going at 3:00 pm.

That is the briefing, start to finish. None of this guarantees an outcome — nothing does in this sport — but a bet grounded in recent evidence is a far steadier proposition than one built on a hunch or a famous name. Head over to the rest of the site for today’s full set of tips — every one given the same honest workover.

 

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera?
Our selection is 2 — Valmiera to win at 1.41. Confidence: 58%.
2 What is JFK Ventspils's performance matrix?
JFK Ventspils: 2W 3D 5L in 10 — poor form.
3 How has Valmiera been performing on the road?
Valmiera: 7W 2D 1L in 10 — very good form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
No recent H2H data.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.4 goals.
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