Estonia Meistriliiga Saturday, 21st March 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
KA
Kalju
W W W D L
4-0
KU
Kuressaare
W L D W D
Selection1 @ 1.25
Calculated Probability70%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Kalju 4-0 Kuressaare
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Kalju to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.25
~60% conversion
Confidence Weight
70% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Kalju to win @1.25
Over Over 1.5 85% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
4.00
Goals Combined / Match
High scoring fluidity observed. Anticipate rapid early phase transitions and high defensive spatial stretch.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.30
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Kalju
W W W D L D W D W W
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
Kuressaare
W L D W D L L W W L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Kalju10 Wins
Neutral Split0 Splits
Kuressaare0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Kalju won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Kalju Win Success Rate6/10
Kuressaare Win Success Rate4/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.7
H2H Interaction Means3.4
Form Convergent Kalju: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Kalju
Record
4-2-4
Kuressaare
Record
30%
Mutual
BTTS
3.4
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Kalju Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.9
Scoring Efficiency
7.3
Defensive Lock
6.7
Kuressaare Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.6
Scoring Efficiency
6.0
Defensive Lock
2.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Kalju Data Yield
2.2
Goals Scored
/Game
1
Goals Against
/Game
40%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Kuressaare Data Yield
1.8
Goals Scored
/Game
2.3
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
25.10.25
ML: FC Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju
0
1
31.08.25
ML: Nõmme Kalju
FC Kuressaare
2
0
18.05.25
ML: Nõmme Kalju
FC Kuressaare
4
0
12.04.25
ML: FC Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju
0
2
02.11.24
ML: FC Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju
1
2
18.08.24
ML: Nõmme Kalju
FC Kuressaare
5
1
18.05.24
ML: Nõmme Kalju
FC Kuressaare
3
0
02.03.24
ML: FC Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju
0
6
26.09.23
ML: FC Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju
0
2
27.08.23
ML: Nõmme Kalju
FC Kuressaare
4
1
Recent Match Archive
Kalju Segment
15.03.26
ML: Flora
Nõmme Kalju
0
1
W
08.03.26
ML: Tammeka
Nõmme Kalju
0
1
W
28.02.26
SC: Flora
Nõmme Kalju
1
3
W
21.02.26
CF: Nõmme Kalju
Super Nova
1
1
D
14.02.26
CF: Paide
Nõmme Kalju
2
1
L
11.02.26
CF: Nõmme Kalju
Tukums 2000
2
2
D
07.02.26
CF: Jelgava
Nõmme Kalju
0
2
W
30.01.26
CF: Nõmme Kalju
RFS
1
1
L
28.01.26
CF: FK Liepaja
Nõmme Kalju
3
5
W
23.01.26
CF: Maardu
Nõmme Kalju
0
5
W
Kuressaare Segment
14.03.26
ML: FC Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
08.03.26
ML: Levadia
FC Kuressaare
2
0
L
21.02.26
CF: FC Kuressaare
Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
CF: FC Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
CF: FC Kuressaare
Nõmme Utd
3
3
D
31.01.26
CF: Pärnu JK Vaprus
FC Kuressaare
9
2
L
24.01.26
CF: Viimsi JK
FC Kuressaare
3
2
L
29.11.25
ML: FC Kuressaare
Viimsi JK
2
0
W
22.11.25
ML: Viimsi JK
FC Kuressaare
0
1
W
08.11.25
ML: Tallinna Kalev
FC Kuressaare
2
1
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Kalju host Kuressaare in Estonia Meistriliiga. Analysis points to Kalju to win.

Kalju arrive showing mixed form — 6W 3D 1L from 10 matches, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1 per game.

Kuressaare are inconsistent on the road — 4W 2D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.3 per match.

The H2H record stands: Kalju 10 wins, Kuressaare 0 wins, 0 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 30% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, kalju to win at 1.25 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Estonia Meistriliiga battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.25 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Kalju vs Kuressaare?
Our selection is 1 — Kalju to win at 1.25. Confidence: 70%.
2 What is Kalju's performance matrix?
Kalju: 6W 3D 1L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Kuressaare been performing on the road?
Kuressaare: 4W 2D 4L in 10 — inconsistent.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Kalju 10 wins, Kuressaare 0, 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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