Conference League Qualifier Thursday, 16th July 2026
⏳ CALCULATING
LE
Levadia
W W L D W
VS
CA
Caernarfon
L W W W W
Venue GroundA. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Kick-Off5:30 pm
Selection1 @ 1.17
Calculated Probability72%
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Levadia to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.17
~60% conversion
Confidence Weight
72% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Levadia to win @1.17
Over Over 2.5 80% probability
Over Over 1.5 95% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
4.50
Goals Combined / Match
High scoring fluidity observed. Anticipate rapid early phase transitions and high defensive spatial stretch.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
2.50
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Moderate containment matrices. Defenses hold robust configurations but remain vulnerable to tier-1 isolation scenarios.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Levadia
W W L D W W W W W W
Positive Momentum 6 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
100%
Caernarfon
L W W W W L L L W W
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Levadia1 Wins
Neutral Split0 Splits
Caernarfon0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Levadia won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Levadia Win Success Rate8/10
Caernarfon Win Success Rate6/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.5
H2H Interaction Means5
Form Convergent Levadia: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
8-1-1
Levadia
Record
6-0-4
Caernarfon
Record
0%
Mutual
BTTS
5
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Levadia Core Capability
Overall Strength
8.3
Scoring Efficiency
9.3
Defensive Lock
7.3
Caernarfon Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.0
Scoring Efficiency
5.7
Defensive Lock
4.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Levadia Data Yield
2.8
Goals Scored
/Game
0.8
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Caernarfon Data Yield
1.7
Goals Scored
/Game
1.7
Goals Against
/Game
40%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 34%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
09.07.26
UECL
Caernarfon
Levadia
0
5
Recent Match Archive
Levadia Segment
09.07.26
UECL
Caernarfon
Levadia
0
5
W
04.07.26
ML
Narva
Levadia
1
3
W
28.06.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
1
2
L
20.06.26
ML
Levadia
Kalju
1
1
D
17.06.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Levadia
1
2
W
13.06.26
ML
Flora
Levadia
1
3
W
30.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Levadia
0
1
W
24.05.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Levadia
1
6
W
17.05.26
ML
Paide
Levadia
1
3
W
09.05.26
ML
Levadia
Harju JK Laagri
3
0
W
Caernarfon Segment
09.07.26
UECL
Caernarfon
Levadia
0
5
L
20.06.26
CF
Glentoran
Caernarfon
1
2
W
18.04.26
PL
Caernarfon
Penybont
2
0
W
12.04.26
FAC
Caernarfon
Flint
3
0
W
03.04.26
PL
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon
0
2
W
27.03.26
PL
Caernarfon
TNS
0
4
L
21.03.26
PL
Barry
Caernarfon
2
1
L
13.03.26
PL
Caernarfon
Connahs Q.
2
4
L
08.03.26
FAC
Rhyl
Caernarfon
1
2
W
27.02.26
PL
Caernarfon
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Thursday, 16th July 2026, Levadia host Caernarfon at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) in Conference League Qualifier. Analysis points to Levadia to win.

Levadia arrive in strong form — 8W 1D 1L from 10 matches, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8 per game.

Caernarfon are inconsistent on the road — 6W 0D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per match.

The H2H record stands: Levadia 1 wins, Caernarfon 0 wins, 0 draws in 1 meetings. Both sides scored in 0% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, levadia to win at 1.17 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

A pre-match read should feel like a proper briefing, not a sales pitch. So that is what we are offering for this Conference League Qualifier game — a straight account of what the evidence says and why we are backing what we are backing.

The home side’s record reads 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Most casual bettors will see a team that looks solid at home and back them without a second thought. We dig further. We work through the recent home matches individually, asking the questions that actually matter: are the goals coming from open play or set pieces? Are defensive errors creeping in? Have the key players been fit and on the pitch? A handful of recent games at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) gives you a portrait of the team as it exists today, not as it looked when conditions were different.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and the same discipline applies. Sides that travel well right now tend to keep travelling well for a stretch; sides struggling on the road usually keep struggling until something structural shifts. Working out which camp the visitors currently sit in is worth the effort, because the market does not always price it correctly.

With both ends assessed, our recommendation is 1 at @1.17, a number we are comfortable standing behind at around 60,20,20%. The match gets going at 5:30 pm.

That is the briefing, start to finish. None of this guarantees an outcome — nothing does in this sport — but a bet grounded in recent evidence is a far steadier proposition than one built on a hunch or a famous name. Head over to the rest of the site for today’s full set of tips — every one given the same honest workover.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Levadia vs Caernarfon?
Our selection is 1 — Levadia to win at 1.17. Confidence: 72%.
2 What is Levadia's performance matrix?
Levadia: 8W 1D 1L in 10 — very good form.
3 How has Caernarfon been performing on the road?
Caernarfon: 6W 0D 4L in 10 — decent form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Levadia 1 wins, Caernarfon 0, 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 5 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.
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