Euro U21 Qualifier Tuesday, 6th October 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
LI
Lithuania U21
L D D D L
0-1
CR
Croatia U21
L W D W D
Venue GroundLSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai (Druskininkai)
Kick-Off6:00 pm
Selection2 @ 1.26
Calculated Probability79%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Lithuania U21 0-1 Croatia U21
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
2
Statistical data points toward Croatia U21 to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.26
~84% conversion
Confidence Weight
★★★★★ 79% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 2 — Croatia U21 to win @1.26
Over Over 1.5 90% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.70
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
2.80
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Lithuania U21
L D D D L L L L D L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
0%
Croatia U21
L W D W D W W W W D
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
80%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Lithuania U210 Wins
Neutral Split0 Splits
Croatia U213 Wins
Favourable Baseline Croatia U21 won 3 of 3 meetings.
Recent Run Ratios
Lithuania U21 Win Success Rate0/10
Croatia U21 Win Success Rate6/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.8
H2H Interaction Means5
Form Convergent Croatia U21: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
0-4-6
Lithuania U21
Record
6-3-1
Croatia U21
Record
33%
Mutual
BTTS
5
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Lithuania U21 Core Capability
Overall Strength
1.2 —
Scoring Efficiency
2.7 —
Defensive Lock
2.7 —
Croatia U21 Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.9 ▲
Scoring Efficiency
6.3 —
Defensive Lock
8.0 —
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Lithuania U21 Data Yield
0.8
Goals Scored
/Game
2.2
Goals Against
/Game
0%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Croatia U21 Data Yield
1.9
Goals Scored
/Game
0.6
Goals Against
/Game
50%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
13.11.25
EUR
Croatia U21
Lithuania U21
4
0
17.11.20
EUR
Croatia U21
Lithuania U21
7
0
14.11.19
EUR
Lithuania U21
Croatia U21
1
3
Recent Match Archive
Lithuania U21 Segment
01.10.26
EUR
Hungary U21
Lithuania U21
2
1
L
09.06.26
CUP
Lithuania U21
Latvia U21
2
2
D
07.06.26
CUP
Estonia U21
Lithuania U21
2
2
D
27.03.26
EUR
Ukraine U21
Lithuania U21
1
1
D
18.11.25
EUR
Lithuania U21
Turkey U21
1
2
L
13.11.25
EUR
Croatia U21
Lithuania U21
4
0
L
14.10.25
FI
Netherlands U21
Lithuania U21
2
0
L
10.10.25
EUR
Turkey U21
Lithuania U21
2
0
L
09.09.25
EUR
Lithuania U21
Hungary U21
1
1
D
05.09.25
EUR
Lithuania U21
Ukraine U21
0
4
L
Croatia U21 Segment
02.10.26
EUR
Ukraine U21
Croatia U21
1
0
L
26.09.26
EUR
Croatia U21
Hungary U21
3
1
W
06.06.26
FI
Croatia U21
Ireland U21
2
2
D
03.06.26
FI
Croatia U21
Qatar U23
2
0
W
30.05.26
FI
Croatia U21
Greece U21
1
1
D
31.03.26
EUR
Croatia U21
Turkey U21
3
0
W
18.11.25
EUR
Hungary U21
Croatia U21
0
2
W
13.11.25
EUR
Croatia U21
Lithuania U21
4
0
W
14.10.25
EUR
Croatia U21
Ukraine U21
1
0
W
09.09.25
EUR
Turkey U21
Croatia U21
1
1
D
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

A pre-match read should feel like a proper briefing, not a sales pitch. So that is what we are offering for this Euro U21 Qualifier game — a straight account of what the evidence says and why we are backing what we are backing.

The home side’s record reads 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Most casual bettors will see a team that looks solid at home and back them without a second thought. We dig further. We work through the recent home matches individually, asking the questions that actually matter: are the goals coming from open play or set pieces? Are defensive errors creeping in? Have the key players been fit and on the pitch? A handful of recent games at LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai (Druskininkai) gives you a portrait of the team as it exists today, not as it looked when conditions were different.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and the same discipline applies. Sides that travel well right now tend to keep travelling well for a stretch; sides struggling on the road usually keep struggling until something structural shifts. Working out which camp the visitors currently sit in is worth the effort, because the market does not always price it correctly.

With both ends assessed, our recommendation is 2 at @1.26, a number we are comfortable standing behind at around 16%. The match gets going at 6:00 pm.

That is the briefing, start to finish. None of this guarantees an outcome — nothing does in this sport — but a bet grounded in recent evidence is a far steadier proposition than one built on a hunch or a famous name. Head over to the rest of the site for today’s full set of tips — every one given the same honest workover.

 

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21?
Our selection is 2 — Croatia U21 to win at 1.26. Confidence: 79%.
2 What is Lithuania U21's performance matrix?
Lithuania U21: 0W 4D 6L in 10 — poor form.
3 How has Croatia U21 been performing on the road?
Croatia U21: 6W 3D 1L in 10 — decent form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Lithuania U21 0 wins, Croatia U21 3, 0 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 5 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 33%.
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