Hungary NB 1 Friday, 20th March 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
MT
MTK Budapest
D D D L D
0-2
PA
Paks
D D L L L
SelectionOver 2.5 @ 1.41
Calculated Probability82%
Status Summary — ✕ Unsuccessful · MTK Budapest 0-2 Paks
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
Over 2.5
Statistical data points toward over 2.5 goals as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.41
~100% conversion
Confidence Weight
82% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.41
Over Over 2.5 65% probability
Both BTTS Yes 75% probability
H2H Over 2.5 70% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.50
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.90
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
MTK Budapest
D D D L D L L L W W
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
40%
Paks
D D L L L L L L W L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
MTK Budapest1 Wins
Neutral Split2 Splits
Paks7 Wins
Favourable Baseline Over 2.5 goals in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 3.5).
Recent Run Ratios
MTK Budapest Win Success Rate2/10
Paks Win Success Rate1/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match3.2
H2H Interaction Means3.5
Form Convergent Over 2.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
2-4-4
MTK Budapest
Record
1-2-7
Paks
Record
70%
Mutual
BTTS
3.5
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
MTK Budapest Core Capability
Overall Strength
3.2
Scoring Efficiency
4.7
Defensive Lock
3.7
Paks Core Capability
Overall Strength
1.6
Scoring Efficiency
3.7
Defensive Lock
3.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
MTK Budapest Data Yield
1.4
Goals Scored
/Game
1.9
Goals Against
/Game
20%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Paks Data Yield
1.1
Goals Scored
/Game
2
Goals Against
/Game
10%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 38%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 33%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
06.12.25
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
3
1
24.08.25
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
2
3
11.04.25
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
1
2
07.12.24
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
4
2
03.12.24
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
3
1
03.03.24
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
0
2
05.11.23
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
0
0
28.07.23
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
1
1
16.04.22
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
4
0
18.12.21
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
1
4
Recent Match Archive
MTK Budapest Segment
13.03.26
NBI: ETO Győr
MTK Budapest
0
0
D
08.03.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
DVTK
1
1
D
27.02.26
NBI: Debrecen
MTK Budapest
2
2
D
23.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
Ferencváros
1
3
L
14.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
Puskás Academy
2
2
D
11.02.26
HC: MTK Budapest
Kecskeméti TE
1
2
L
08.02.26
NBI: Nyíregyháza
MTK Budapest
4
2
L
31.01.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcika
1
3
L
24.01.26
NBI: Kisvárda
MTK Budapest
2
3
W
17.01.26
CF: MTK Budapest
Ajka
1
0
W
Paks Segment
14.03.26
NBI: Paksi FC
Zalaegerszegi
1
1
D
07.03.26
NBI: Újpest
Paksi FC
0
0
D
28.02.26
NBI: Kisvárda
Paksi FC
2
1
L
22.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
ETO Győr
3
4
L
14.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
DVTK
1
2
L
11.02.26
HC: Paksi FC
DVTK
2
6
L
07.02.26
NBI: Debrecen
Paksi FC
1
0
L
01.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
Ferencváros
0
1
L
24.01.26
NBI: Puskás Academy
Paksi FC
1
2
W
16.01.26
CF: Widzew Łódź
Paksi FC
2
1
L
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Friday, 20th March 2026, MTK Budapest host Paks in Hungary NB 1. Analysis points to over 2.5 goals.

MTK Budapest arrive in difficult form — 2W 4D 4L from 10 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 per game.

Paks are struggling away — 1W 2D 7L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2 per match.

The H2H record stands: MTK Budapest 1 wins, Paks 7 wins, 2 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 70% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, over 2.5 goals at 1.41 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Hungary NB 1 battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is Over 2.5, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.41 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for MTK Budapest vs Paks?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at 1.41. Confidence: 82%.
2 What is MTK Budapest's performance matrix?
MTK Budapest: 2W 4D 4L in 10 — poor form.
3 How has Paks been performing on the road?
Paks: 1W 2D 7L in 10 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
MTK Budapest 1 wins, Paks 7, 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.5 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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