Uganda Premier League Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
NE
NEC FC
D W D W D
1-0
UP
UPDF
L D L L L
Selection1 @ 1.45
Calculated Probability37%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · NEC FC 1-0 UPDF
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward NEC FC to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.45
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
37% Low Variance Speculative
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — NEC FC to win @1.45
Under Under 2.5 75% probability
Both BTTS No 75% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
1.00
Goals Combined / Match
Low frequency chance creation environments. High structural preservation and heavily contested zones expected.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.00
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
NEC FC
D W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
50%
UPDF
L L
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
0%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
NEC FC0 Wins
Neutral Split5 Splits
UPDF0 Wins
Negative Variance NEC FC won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
NEC FC Win Success Rate1/2
UPDF Win Success Rate0/2
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2
H2H Interaction Means1.4
Dynamic Equilibrium NEC FC: 1W 1D 0L from 2 games.
1-1-0
NEC FC
Record
0-0-2
UPDF
Record
20%
Mutual
BTTS
1.4
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
NEC FC Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.5
Scoring Efficiency
3.3
Defensive Lock
8.3
UPDF Core Capability
Overall Strength
0.0
Scoring Efficiency
0.0
Defensive Lock
1.7
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
NEC FC Data Yield
1
Goals Scored
/Game
0.5
Goals Against
/Game
50%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
UPDF Data Yield
0
Goals Scored
/Game
2.5
Goals Against
/Game
0%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 50%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
16.12.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
04.04.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
24.09.24
: NEC
UPD
1
0
13.02.24
: UPD
NEC
2
2
20.10.23
: NEC
UPD
2
0
Recent Match Archive
NEC FC Segment
17.02.26
: VIP
NEC
1
1
13.02.26
: NEC
KCC
3
1
31.01.26
: NEC
EXP
0
0
27.01.26
: BUH
NEC
0
1
24.01.26
: NEC
KIT
3
3
UPDF Segment
18.02.26
: LUG
UPD
1
0
13.02.26
: UPD
BUH
0
0
30.01.26
: UPD
BUL
0
1
27.01.26
: KCC
UPD
4
0
21.01.26
: UPD
ENT
0
1
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, NEC FC host UPDF in Uganda Premier League. Analysis points to NEC FC to win.

NEC FC arrive showing mixed form — 1W 1D 0L from 2 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 0.5 per game.

UPDF are struggling away — 0W 0D 2L in 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 2.5 per match.

The H2H record stands: NEC FC 0 wins, UPDF 0 wins, 5 draws in 5 meetings. Both sides scored in 20% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, nec fc to win at 1.45 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for NEC FC vs UPDF?
Our selection is 1 — NEC FC to win at 1.45. Confidence: 37%.
2 What is NEC FC's performance matrix?
NEC FC: 1W 1D 0L in 2 — decent form.
3 How has UPDF been performing on the road?
UPDF: 0W 0D 2L in 2 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
NEC FC 0 wins, UPDF 0, 5 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.4 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
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