Wales Cymru South Friday, 20th March 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
AM
Ammanford
W W L W D
1-0
BA
Baglan Dragons
L L W L L
Selection1 @ 1.31
Calculated Probability56%
Status Summary — ✓ Verified Win · Ammanford 1-0 Baglan Dragons
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1
Statistical data points toward Ammanford to win as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.31
~50% conversion
Confidence Weight
56% Moderate Baseline
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Alternative Slates
Secondary Selections
★ Master 1 — Ammanford to win @1.31
Over Over 2.5 65% probability
03
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.20
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
3.40
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Pronounced structural instability across transitions. Low probability of simultaneous clean sheets.
04
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Ammanford
W W L W D L L W W W
Positive Momentum 3 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
Baglan Dragons
L L W L L L L D D W
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
05
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Ammanford3 Wins
Neutral Split2 Splits
Baglan Dragons0 Wins
Favourable Baseline Ammanford won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
Recent Run Ratios
Ammanford Win Success Rate6/10
Baglan Dragons Win Success Rate2/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.8
H2H Interaction Means3
Form Convergent Ammanford: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Ammanford
Record
2-2-6
Baglan Dragons
Record
60%
Mutual
BTTS
3
H2H Goal
Mean
06
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Ammanford Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.3
Scoring Efficiency
5.0
Defensive Lock
5.3
Baglan Dragons Core Capability
Overall Strength
2.6
Scoring Efficiency
2.3
Defensive Lock
3.3
07
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Ammanford Data Yield
1.5
Goals Scored
/Game
1.4
Goals Against
/Game
40%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Baglan Dragons Data Yield
0.7
Goals Scored
/Game
2
Goals Against
/Game
20%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
08
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
09
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
28.11.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
0
3
12.04.25
FAW: Ammanford
Baglan Dragons
1
1
18.08.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
0
2
17.02.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
1
3
08.12.23
FAW: Ammanford
Baglan Dragons
2
2
Recent Match Archive
Ammanford Segment
14.03.26
FAW: Llantwit Major
Ammanford
2
3
W
06.03.26
FAW: Ammanford
Cardiff Draconians
2
1
W
01.03.26
FAW: Afan Lido
Ammanford
3
1
L
24.02.26
FAW: Ammanford
Aberystwyth
2
1
W
13.02.26
FAW: Ammanford
Trethomas Bluebirds
0
0
D
07.02.26
FAW: Caerau Ely
Ammanford
3
1
L
23.01.26
FAW: Ammanford
Trefelin
0
4
L
09.01.26
FAW: Pontypridd
Ammanford
0
3
W
03.01.26
FAW: Ammanford
Ynyshir Albions
2
0
W
26.12.25
FAW: Carmarthen Town
Ammanford
0
1
W
Baglan Dragons Segment
17.03.26
FAW: Treowen
Baglan Dragons
4
1
L
14.03.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Caerau Ely
0
5
L
06.03.26
FAW: Newport City
Baglan Dragons
1
2
W
21.02.26
FAW: Pontypridd
Baglan Dragons
2
0
L
17.02.26
FAW: Trefelin
Baglan Dragons
3
0
L
14.02.26
FAW: Cardiff Draconians
Baglan Dragons
3
1
L
07.02.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Aberystwyth
0
1
L
24.01.26
FAW: Ynyshir Albions
Baglan Dragons
0
0
D
03.01.26
FAW: Llantwit Major
Baglan Dragons
0
0
D
26.12.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Afan Lido
3
1
W
10
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Friday, 20th March 2026, Ammanford host Baglan Dragons in Wales Cymru South. Analysis points to Ammanford to win.

Ammanford arrive showing mixed form — 6W 1D 3L from 10 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Baglan Dragons are struggling away — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2 per match.

The H2H record stands: Ammanford 3 wins, Baglan Dragons 0 wins, 2 draws in 5 meetings. Both sides scored in 60% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, ammanford to win at 1.31 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Wales Cymru South battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.31 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

11
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?
Our selection is 1 — Ammanford to win at 1.31. Confidence: 56%.
2 What is Ammanford's performance matrix?
Ammanford: 6W 1D 3L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Baglan Dragons been performing on the road?
Baglan Dragons: 2W 2D 6L in 10 — poor form.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Ammanford 3 wins, Baglan Dragons 0, 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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