Ligue 1 Sunday, 17th May 2026
DATAFEED INSIGHT
LI
Lille
W D W D W
0-2
AU
Auxerre
W W L D D
Selection1X @ 1.09
Calculated Probability87%
Status Summary — ✕ Unsuccessful · Lille 0-2 Auxerre
01
Primary Index
The Selection
Recommended Angle
1X
Statistical data points toward Lille to win or draw as the primary value index.
Best Odds
1.09
~90% conversion
Confidence Weight
87% High Certainty Index
Please verify real-time match conditions before executing. Information provided on editorial baseline metrics. 18+ responsible management.
02
Match Pace Dynamics
Scoring Liquidity & Volatility Metrics
Attacking Liquidity (Expected Tempo)
2.90
Goals Combined / Match
Standard baseline match rhythm. Stable mid-block distributions likely to produce steady conversion chances.
Defensive Structural Integrity Index
1.70
Aggregated Clean Sheet Deficit
Premium clean sheet consolidation indicators. Solid tactical low blocks minimize error metrics.
03
Form Matrix
Streak Tracker
Lille
W D W D W W W L W L
Balanced Phase 1 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
60%
Auxerre
W W L D D D W L D D
Balanced Phase 2 matches consistent
Conversion Velocity
20%
04
Historical Vectors
Head-to-Head & Form Intelligence
Head to Head Distribution
Lille5 Wins
Neutral Split4 Splits
Auxerre1 Wins
Favourable Baseline Lille unbeaten in 9 of 10 H2H meetings.
Recent Run Ratios
Lille Win Success Rate6/10
Auxerre Win Success Rate3/10
Aggregated Goal Yield / Match2.3
H2H Interaction Means3.3
Form Convergent Lille unbeaten in 8 of 10 recent games.
6-2-2
Lille
Record
3-5-2
Auxerre
Record
80%
Mutual
BTTS
3.3
H2H Goal
Mean
05
Performance Indexes
System Strength Ratings
Lille Core Capability
Overall Strength
6.6
Scoring Efficiency
4.7
Defensive Lock
8.0
Auxerre Core Capability
Overall Strength
4.5
Scoring Efficiency
5.0
Defensive Lock
6.3
06
Raw Yield Data
Volumetric Statistical Ratios
Lille Data Yield
1.4
Goals Scored
/Game
0.6
Goals Against
/Game
50%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
Auxerre Data Yield
1.5
Goals Scored
/Game
1.1
Goals Against
/Game
30%
Clean Sheet
Ratio
07
Market Segments
Multi-Condition Combinations
Outcome & Goals Option
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Outcome & Over/Under Variant
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
08
Data Logs
Historical Archive Registry
Head-to-Head History
14.12.25
L1
Auxerre
Lille
3
4
20.04.25
L1
Lille
Auxerre
3
1
10.01.25
L1
Auxerre
Lille
0
0
22.04.23
L1
Auxerre
Lille
1
1
07.08.22
L1
Lille
Auxerre
4
1
18.12.21
CDF
Lille
Auxerre
3
1
29.10.13
COU
Lille
Auxerre (aet)
0
1
03.03.12
L1
Lille
Auxerre
2
2
15.10.11
L1
Auxerre
Lille
1
3
06.02.11
L1
Auxerre
Lille
1
1
Recent Match Archive
Lille Segment
10.05.26
L1
Monaco
Lille
0
1
W
03.05.26
L1
Lille
Le Havre
1
1
D
26.04.26
L1
Paris FC
Lille
0
1
W
18.04.26
L1
Lille
Nice
0
0
D
12.04.26
L1
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
W
04.04.26
L1
Lille
Lens
3
0
W
22.03.26
L1
Marseille
Lille
1
2
W
19.03.26
EL
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
L
15.03.26
L1
Rennes
Lille
1
2
W
12.03.26
EL
Lille
Aston Villa
0
1
L
Auxerre Segment
10.05.26
L1
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
03.05.26
L1
Auxerre
Angers
3
1
W
25.04.26
L1
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
L
19.04.26
L1
Monaco
Auxerre
2
2
D
11.04.26
L1
Auxerre
Nantes
0
0
D
05.04.26
L1
Le Havre
Auxerre
1
1
D
21.03.26
L1
Auxerre
Brest
3
0
W
13.03.26
L1
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
L
07.03.26
L1
Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
0
D
01.03.26
L1
Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
D
09
Match Analysis
Analytical Breakdown

On Sunday, 17th May 2026, Lille host Auxerre in Ligue 1. Analysis points to Lille to win or draw.

Lille arrive showing mixed form — 6W 2D 2L from 10 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game.

Auxerre are struggling away — 3W 5D 2L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.1 per match.

The H2H record stands: Lille 5 wins, Auxerre 1 wins, 4 draws in 10 meetings. Both sides scored in 80% of those contests.

On the balance of evidence, lille to win or draw at 1.09 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.

"Strategic performance mapping relies heavily on structural resilience during tracking transitions."

Finding real value in the betting markets is all about reading the data correctly, and this Ligue 1 battle provides a fantastic canvas for smart bettors. Success here demands an emotionless, purely analytical breakdown of the stats. The home team’s situation is the very first piece of the puzzle.

While their season form provides the broader context, the immediate truth lies elsewhere. Scrutinizing their last five matches gives a transparent view of their current threat level and exactly where their defensive gaps are. The visitors bring their own complex metrics that we have to sort through.

We need to measure their overall form against the recent form guide of their latest games to spot any pricing errors from the oddsmakers. Furthermore, past meetings often dictate future results more than people think. Head-to-head data is a goldmine for uncovering stylistic advantages that machines can’t always quantify.

Aligning these historical trends with today’s form calculates a precise likelihood for the matchup. All the data converges on one clear choice. Our definitive tip is 1X, which is the most sensible market entry, particularly at the current @1.09 odds.

As the game goes live, our wager is set. The final score will ultimately reveal if the numbers painted the correct picture. Don’t forget to check the rest of our daily tips.

10
Match Digest FAQ
Intelligence Distribution Breakdown
1 What is the main prediction for Lille vs Auxerre?
Our selection is 1X — Lille to win or draw at 1.09. Confidence: 87%.
2 What is Lille's performance matrix?
Lille: 6W 2D 2L in 10 — decent form.
3 How has Auxerre been performing on the road?
Auxerre: 3W 5D 2L in 10 — inconsistent.
4 What is the historical head-to-head trajectory?
Lille 5 wins, Auxerre 1, 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
5 How many total match goals are expected?
Recent matches average 2.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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